|
Chart Patterns II: Rules for identifying Reversal Patterns |
|
|
|
|
Written by Administrator
|
|
Saturday, 13 September 2008 |
|
The following are the three basic tenets about identifying reversal
patterns. While they may seem obvious and even simplistic, they are
important for successfully using these patterns.
A Trend Must Exist - A trend must exist before a reversal of the
trend. There can be no reversal if a trend does not exist in the first
place. A reversal pattern that follows a large trend will have much
more movement to retrace, and so the strength of the move after the
reversal pattern will likely be stronger.
Trend Lines - The first precise signal that the trend is ending is
often the failure of a trend line, that might also come along with
oscillators that show overbought or oversold before a reversal pattern
occurs. Note that the intraday break of the trend line is not
significant until a daily candle closes through the line. The chart
below shows a trend line that is broken on an intraday basis before the
price recovers. The first strong signal that a reversal may be coming
appears when the price closes below the green support line. The price
subsequently rallies to form a double top, but it does not hold these
gains.
Time Frame - Like relative highs/lows and trend lines, reversal
patterns gain greater significance if they occur over a longer time
frame. A head and shoulders pattern that takes months to develop will
of course signal a reversal of a much larger trend than a head and
shoulders that takes place intraday.
|