|
The formation of wedges can signal breakouts in upward or downward
trending markets. They are similar to triangles in terms of their
application.
The Wedge formation is a variation on the ascending or
descending triangle in which both the angled sides of the triangle are
sloping against the dominant trend in the market.
The wedge formation is used in the same manner as the triangle
formations discussed in the previous articles. It shows consolidation
of the market in either an up or down trend, and once the support or
resistance provided by the wedge is broken, it most often signals a
continuation of the trend in its original direction.
The chart below showed a downward-sloping bullish wedge of USD/JPY
at the end of year 2003. Notice that there was a plummet before the
wedge formation, confirming the strong downtrend. The price then fell
further down with narrower range, which formed the wedge. At the
beginning of February 2004, the price broke above the wedge edge and
surged to a peak around 112.00.
Below is a chart of a rising wedge. The price of EUR/USD
consolidated from March 2004 to October 2004. It finally surged above
1.2550 in October 2004, where it broke through the upper wedge edge and
continued to rise further. Generally speaking, traders can notice the
dominant trend and the break out usually favors the dominant trend
direction. Nonetheless, wedges are signs of price consolidation, they
do not exactly indicate which direction the price is going to break
through.
|