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Fibonacci trading system PDF Print E-mail
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Monday, 08 December 2008

 

Traders were asking to post some strategies that will work on smaller time frames.
Here is one very nice trading system that can be worth your attention.

 

When a trader chooses to use small time frames (like 10 min, 15 min, 30 min even 1 hour) risks to be wrong are always higher than with larger time frames.
Therefore, it is very important to have a really good Forex trading system that can advise on entries with high chances to win and what's more important it should be able to tell exactly where to exit without need to constantly monitor the price.

 

Note also, the more traders look at charts, the more they tend to have controversial feelings about the success of a current open trade...

 

With all this long introduction, it is only left to mention that this strategy will require from traders basic knowledge of use of Fibonacci tool.
What is Fibonacci tool and how to use it? Simply Google "forex fibonacci" phrase and you'll find a lot of information about it.

 

 

 

Trading setup:
Time frame: any over 5 min and less than 3 hour.
Currency pairs: any.
Indicators: 5 WMA

 

Rules:

Look at the price waves. Find the most recent swing high and the most recent swing low = so called Fibonacci A swing and B swing.

 

Pull Fibonacci from A to B.
To know which direction to pull (up or down) simply look at the trend; if it is unclear, find appropriate AB swings and set Fibonacci in both directions.

 

Once set, wait and watch the retracement from AB swing to unfold.
During the retracement there are three conditions to be met in order to consider trading:
1. The price must touch 5 WMA.
2. The price must at least touch 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
3. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level must not fail. Here it means the price should not close below (uptrend) / above (downtrend) 0.618 retracement line. It can touch or poke it, but the level must withstand the "attack".

 

 

When all three criteria are met, enter once the candle is clearly closed above 5 WMA for Long entry, below - for Short.
Stop order is placed always 4-5 pips above (downtrend) / below (uptrend) the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
Profit target is set to 1.618 Fibonacci expansion level derived from point A.

 

Finobaacci.png finobacci picture by ariestomaster
 

c_strategy_5-1.png finobacci picture by ariestomaster

 

WMA stands for Weighted Moving Average.
The Weighted moving average is calculated by averaging the current value and the previous values over the given period together

 

To set up Fibonacci you need to find swings High and Low - AB on the picture above. Then you drag your Fibonacci tool, found on your trading platform, from A to B and get retracement and extension levels.

Level 0.382 indicates 38.2% retracement from point B where AB swing = 100%.
Level 0.618 indicates 61.8% retracement from point B.
Extension level of 1.618 stands for total of 161.8% progress starting from point A.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Last Updated ( Monday, 08 December 2008 )
 
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