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Technical Analysis V: Trending and Ranging Markets |
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Written by Administrator
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Friday, 12 September 2008 |
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In Trending Markets
The existence of a trend in any market depends on a series of
relative highs and lows.
Two consecutive relative highs, each above the
previous relative high, and
two relative lows above the previous low
would be constitute a tentative up-trend.
A third relative high would
confirm the trend.
The chart below illustrates a up-trend of EUR/USD:
The continuation of a trend depends on the successive rallies
reaching a greater price than the previous ones. Traders can buy at
relative lows and profit from the rest of the trend. Or traders can
speculate the reverse of the trend and sell at relative highs. If an
up-trend establishes a relative high and the subsequent rally fails to
break through to a higher price, then the up-trend is in doubt. A
series of decreasing relative lows would be necessary to determine that
the market trend had reversed to a downtrend. More likely, the market
will be range bound for a period.
In Range Bound Markets
Markets do not always move in trends. They spend a lot of time in
ranges, fluctuating between established highs and lows. Often a range
bound market is considered to have a sideways trend, since it is
neither moving upwards to new highs or down to new lows. If the
short-term trend is that of a sideways market, it is sometimes called a
consolidation range. The price during a consolidation period is simply
building up support for a continued move in the original direction. See
the following chart:
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Last Updated ( Friday, 12 September 2008 )
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